Today I’d like to outlline the basic contrasts between this calculation and a popular resource, FiveThirtyEight.com. That site, run by Nate Silver, a sabermetrician, is a good compendium of information and commentary. However, both our goals and methods differ on several key points. The biggest difference is that this site provides a current snapshot of where polls are today, while he attempts a prediction.As you can see from the title of this post, McCain still isn't really in the running. He is going to have to get much more nasty towards Obama.
...if by a "Liberal" they mean someone who looks ahead and not behind, someone who welcomes new ideas without rigid reactions, someone who cares about the welfare of the people -- their health, their housing, their schools, their jobs, their civil rights, and their civil liberties -- someone who believes we can break through the stalemate and suspicions that grip us in our policies abroad, if that is what they mean by a "Liberal," then I'm proud to say I'm a "Liberal." JFK
Saturday, August 09, 2008
Obama 309 - McCain 229
FiveThirtyEight is good but the statistician at the Princeton Election Consortium uses a technique (meta-analysis) that predicts the outcome of the election if it were held today.
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