Tuesday, March 04, 2008

Difficulties for Hillary Clinton

It's going to be near impossible for Hillary Clinton to win more pledged delegates than Barack Obama. Don't believe me? Then go to Slate's Delegate Calculator and play with the numbers yourself. There are 14 more state primaries plus Guam and Puerto Rico. Enter your best guess numbers into each State or Territory and you will see that unless Clinton beats Obama by very high percentages, she will not get more pledged delegates than does Obama.

So even if Hillary Clinton gets all delegates of Guam and Puerto Rico, she could win the next 10 primaries by a margin of 55% to Obama's 45% (unlikely) and still not have more pledged delegates than Obama.

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