Obama 309 - McCain 229

FiveThirtyEight is good but the statistician at the Princeton Election Consortium uses a technique (meta-analysis) that predicts the outcome of the election if it were held today.

Today I’d like to outlline the basic contrasts between this calculation and a popular resource, FiveThirtyEight.com. That site, run by Nate Silver, a sabermetrician, is a good compendium of information and commentary. However, both our goals and methods differ on several key points. The biggest difference is that this site provides a current snapshot of where polls are today, while he attempts a prediction.

As you can see from the title of this post, McCain still isn't really in the running. He is going to have to get much more nasty towards Obama.